Virginia Beach, Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

360
FXUS61 KAKQ 100715
AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
315 AM EDT Sun Aug 10 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure builds over the area today allowing for pleasant
weather conditions across the area. Dry and slightly warmer is
expected across the area. High pressure will migrate further
south through the week allowing for temperatures to warm and
allow for the daily chances of showers to return.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 320 AM EDT Sunday...

Key Messages:

- Patchy fog is possible this morning across the Piedmont and MD
Eastern Shore


- Slightly  warmer but still an over pleasant day.

Weather analysis this morning shows an upper level ridge centered
over the eastern half of the United States. At the surface, high
pressure continues to remain in place over coastal New England. Sky
cover remains clear across the Piedmont and Eastern Shore. While
across the SE coastal areas some low level cumulus make their way
inland off the the ocean. Temperatures at 2am range between the
lower to middle 60s inland and upper 60s to low 70s along the
coastline. Some patchy ground fog could develop by sunrise.
Temperatures by sunrise should be in the upper 50s to low 60s inland
and middle to upper 60s along the coastline.

Through the day the high pressure will slowly migrate south. This
will help in allowing dry but slightly warmer conditions prevail.
Sky`s will remain mostly clear and any chances of showers will be
south of the Albemarle sound. High temperatures for today will be in
the middle 80s inland and lower 80s along the coast. As the high is
further south tonight it will help assist in bringing in additional
moisture. There is the better potential for fog late tonight into
Monday morning. Lows will also be slightly warmer with temperatures
in the lower to middle 60s inland and upper 60s to lower 70s along
the coastline.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
As of 320 AM EDT Sunday...

Key Messages:

- Temperatures gradually warm through the early part of next week

- Daily chances of showers and storms return Monday and Tuesday.

The upper level ridge will continue to be over the eastern half of
the United States Monday. While at the surface the high pressure
will be just south of the off the Delmarva coast. This will allow for
S to SW winds allowing for a warmer and humid air mass to move back
in place. PW values will build near 2" primarily across the
southern half of the area. Instability will also build back in with
~1000 J/kg of Mlcape. These ingredients should be efficient enough
to help initiate showers and possibly an isolated storm primarily
south of I-64 Monday afternoon. No severe threat is expected as flow
aloft remains weak. This is typical for a normal summer time patter.
However, cannot rule a brief localized heavy downpour. Otherwise,
high temperatures will be in the middle 80s across the north and
lower 80s south and along the coast. The reason for the lower 80s
across the south is due to the increase of cloud cover through the
day which will help keep the southern half of the area cooler. High
pressure will be off the SE coast by Tuesday. Temperatures will
continue to warm with highs in the upper to middle 80s across the
CWA. Additionally dew points will also rise into the upper 60s to
lower 70s. This will allow for Heat Indices to be in the lower 90s.
Daily chances of storms continue in the afternoon of Tuesday. No
severe storms are expected due to the weak flow aloft. However, a
localized heavy downpour is possible due to weak modest instability
and high PW.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 320 AM EDT Sunday...

Key Messages:

- Near to slightly above seasonable temperatures are expected   in
the extended forecast.

- Chances for daily late afternoon and evening showers and  storms
return through the forecast period. However, the   potential for
widespread severe weather remains low.

The 00z ensemble guidance continues to remain in decent agreement
with the over all synoptic pattern in the extended. An upper level
ridge will continue to be over the eastern half of the United States
while further west a weak trough move across the central US. High
pressure at the surface will slide into place over the western
Atlantic. This high pressure will allow for temperatures by the
middle to late next week be near or just above seasonable. Highs Wed
through Sat will be in the upper 80s to lower 90s. Heat Indices
will also increase as an influx of moisture makes a return. Heat
indices could potentially reach near 100 by mid to late next week,
but likely not reaching Heat Advisory criteria through late week.
Daily chances for showers and storms continue through the extended.
Severe weather isn`t a significant concern through this period, with
shear remaining weak/not supportive of organized convection.&&

.AVIATION /07Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 110 AM EDT Sunday...

Mainly VFR conditions continue to prevail everywhere but ORF
this morning. Sky cover inland remains clear. Across the coastal
terminals some SCT to BKN low level clouds continue to make
their way across the terminals. Some MVFR cigs have been
reported across the ORF terminal this morning. Winds continue to
be light and variable inland while across the coastal terminals
winds remain out of the NE ~5kt. Throughout this morning VFR
conditions should turn into MVFR to potentially IFR conditions
across all terminals. Latest model guidance continues to show
patch fog developing across PHF, RIC, and SBY ~8z. However,
confidence in exact timing is low and a tempo group has been
added between 8 to 10z then prevails from 10z to 13z. This
patchy fog will cause CIGS and VIS to drop. Across the coastal
zones fog is not expected however, low level clouds causing
MVFR conditions are expected. These MVFR conditions will last
through the early morning hours before cloud heights rise due to
daytime heating. High pressure remains over the region bringing
VFR conditions through the day. While tonight some fog and/or
low status could possibly form causing additional flight
restrictions tonight into monday.

High pressure builds S over the region early-mid next week as
low pressure moves well offshore. This will bring mainly dry and
VFR conditions, aside from any early morning fog/stratus. Low
chances of diurnal showers/tstms return by midweek.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 110 AM EDT Sunday...


Mainly VFR conditions continue to prevail everywhere but ORF
this morning. Sky cover inland remains clear. Across the coastal
terminals some SCT to BKN low level clouds continue to make
their way across the terminals. Some MVFR cigs have been
reported across the ORF terminal this morning. Winds continue to
be light and variable inland while across the coastal terminals
winds remain out of the NE ~5kt. Throughout this morning VFR
conditions should turn into MVFR to potentially IFR conditions
across all terminals. Latest model guidance continues to show
patch fog developing across PHF, RIC, and SBY ~8z. However,
confidence in exact timing is low and a tempo group has been
added between 8 to 10z then prevails from 10z to 13z. This
patchy fog will cause CIGS and VIS to drop. Across the coastal
zones fog is not expected however, low level clouds causing
MVFR conditions are expected. These MVFR conditions will last
through the early morning hours before cloud heights rise due to
daytime heating. High pressure remains over the region bringing
VFR conditions through the day. While tonight some fog and/or
low status could possibly form causing additional flight
restrictions tonight into monday.

High pressure builds S over the region early-mid next week as
low pressure moves well offshore. This will bring mainly dry and
VFR conditions, aside from any early morning fog/stratus. Low
chances of diurnal showers/tstms return by midweek.
&&

.MARINE...
As of 320 AM EDT Sunday...

Key Messages:

- A High Risk for Rip Currents continues today across the southern
beaches, with a moderate risk across the Atlantic beaches on the
eastern shore.

- Generally benign marine conditions are expected this week.

~1025mb high pressure is centered from VA to the New England coast
early this morning. With the relaxing pressure gradient, NE winds
are only 5-10 kt with 3-4 ft seas/1-3 ft waves (highest S). All SCAs
have been allowed to expire. Benign, sub-SCA marine conditions
prevail through the week. Winds will be ENE around 10 kt today but
will gradually veer to the SE from tonight-Monday (with speeds
remaining around 10 kt) as the high shifts to the east. Winds then
are forecast to be S-SE at 5-10 kt through much of the week as the
high remains anchored offshore with no cold fronts on the horizon.
Seas will mainly be 2-3 ft, with 1 ft to occasionally 2 ft waves in
the Ches Bay.

A High risk for rip currents continues today across VA Beach/Eastern
Currituck County given lingering 3-4 ft waves, shore-normal swell,
and 8-9 second periods. A Moderate risk for rip currents exists
across the northern beaches given slightly less favorable swell
direction and lower waves (~3 ft). The rip current risk decreases to
Low across the N beaches and Moderate across the S beaches Monday
and Tuesday.

&&

.AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...HET/MAM
NEAR TERM...HET
SHORT TERM...HET/MAM
LONG TERM...HET/MAM
AVIATION...AJZ/HET
MARINE...ERI/RMM